The Flooded Lands

Description
An unrelenting deluge of rainfall lashes down on the great city of  and the surrounding lands. If the rains don't stop soon, the banks of the great river that threads through the city will burst, flooding the adjacent quarters. With limited time and resources, the choices are stark. What do you do?

Options
"Let's leave it to fate! Maybe the rains will cease!"
 * Gamble
 * Effect: Chance of terrible consequences

"Limited adaptations should mitigate the biggest risks, and the rains might relent in any case."
 * Adapt
 * Effects:
 * Chance of bad consequences
 * Chance of bad consequences

"An expensive dyke around  will ensure the city is protected from any flood threats."
 * Reason
 * Effects:
 * Chance of good consequences
 * Chance of good consequences

Follow-up event
All options will trigger a follow-up event: A Melody for Every Occasion II